Latvian safety service ponders Putin’s prospects / Article

Latvian safety service ponders Putin’s prospects / Article
Latvian safety service ponders Putin’s prospects / Article

Titled The soundness of Putin’s regime. Are modifications doable?, the evaluation doesn’t include any creator’s identify connected and doesn’t have footnotes or different attributive sources to again up its numerous assertions and predictions.

“Since February of this 12 months, numerous assumptions and variations of doable political modifications within the Russian energy system have been more and more showing in mass media, predicting the lack of energy of Russian President Vladimir Putin and even Russia’s financial and regional collapse. The Structure Safety Bureau (SAB) gives its perspective on these assumptions on this article,” it begins.

In reply to the basic query posed within the title of the evaluation, SAB comes down cautiously on the aspect of ‘No’, saying: “SAB believes {that a} revolution is somewhat unlikely within the present state of affairs. The prevailing competitors and discord between teams, which is related to political opportunism, happens throughout the framework of the established system however doesn’t threaten the existence of the strategic political course or system… At present, the elites’ profit calculations makes riot in opposition to the regime too dangerous to justify.”

“Normally, a change of energy in Russia, with Putin shedding his place on account of sickness or a revolution, is unlikely in the mean time. The Russian elite has partially gathered round Putin because the guarantor of the present system,” SAB says.

You may learn the entire thing right here: https://www.sab.gov.lv/?a=s&id=72&jid=117. Again in October, SAB supplied a view on Belarus, too: https://www.sab.gov.lv/?a=s&id=72&jid=115.

The Structure Safety Bureau is one in every of three state safety companies, the opposite being the State Safety Service (VDD) and the Protection Intelligence and Safety Service (MIDD). The primary duties of SAB embrace intelligence, counter-intelligence and safety of official secrets and techniques. SAB additionally ensures safety of NATO and EU categorized data in public establishments engaged in work with such data.

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